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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a $366 movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-02-14 13:30. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-02-14 13:30 if the released value is < -0.1% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jan 13:30
18 Jun 12:30
15 May 12:30
15 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect GC to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

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We expect KW to trend downwards right now.

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