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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in France, we expect a 63 pip movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-04-30 06:45. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-04-30 06:45 if the released value is < 0.8% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Mar 07:45
29 Nov 07:45
27 Sep 06:45
31 Jul 06:45
28 Jun 06:45
31 May 06:45

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 136 pip movement on LE within 4 hours following the event release.

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We expect GC to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

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