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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 1.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Nov 13:30
17 Oct 12:30
15 Aug 12:30
15 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $155 movement on UB within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-16 13:45.

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We expect EMD to trend downwards right now.

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