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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 2.6%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Mar 12:30
25 Jun 12:30
16 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect MW to trend downwards right now.

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We expect a $235507 movement on ES within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-15 12:30.

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