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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in Italy, we expect a $230 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 2024-10-30 09:00. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-10-30 09:00 if the released value is > 0.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Apr 08:00
31 Jan 10:00
31 Oct 09:00
29 Jul 08:00
31 Jan 10:00
29 Oct 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 354 pip movement on BZ within 48 hours following the event release.

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