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We expect USDCAD to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a 70 pip movement on USDCAD within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-25 12:30. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-25 12:30 if the released value is > -0.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Jul 12:30
27 May 12:30
26 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30
25 Oct 12:30
26 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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