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We expect USDCAD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 36.6

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jul 05:00
01 Mar 05:00
31 Jan 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $6722 movement on OJ within 4 hours following the release of Consumer Confidence.

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We expect a 29 pip movement on KW within 4 hours following the event release.

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