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We expect USDCAD to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2024-11-19 13:30 if the released value is < 1.9%. A price movement of 32 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Oct 12:30
17 Sep 12:30
19 Mar 12:30
21 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 1776 pip movement on CC within 48 hours following the event release.

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