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We expect USDCAD to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect a 26 pip movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-19 12:00. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-19 12:00 if the released value is = 4.75%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Nov 12:00
01 Aug 11:00
20 Jun 11:00
09 May 11:00
21 Mar 12:00
01 Feb 12:00
14 Dec 12:00
02 Nov 12:00
03 Aug 11:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect CT to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

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