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We expect UB to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect UB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -10.8%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Jun 12:30
27 May 12:30
24 Apr 12:30
26 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30
26 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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