Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect UB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > -10.8%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
26 Jun 12:30![]() |
27 May 12:30![]() |
24 Apr 12:30![]() |
26 Mar 12:30![]() |
27 Feb 13:30![]() |
26 Sep 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).