Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we expect UB to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect UB to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 30 Apr 09:00 if the released value is = 8.3%. A price movement of 162 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
01 Feb 10:00 |
02 Dec 10:00 |
30 Oct 10:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
