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We expect SM to trend upwards right now.

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, SM could experience an upwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this, and the trend could last 4 hours because the released value is = 0.5%.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jul 03:00
17 Jun 03:00
01 May 03:00
19 Dec 03:00
31 Oct 03:00
20 Sep 03:00
14 Jun 03:25
19 Mar 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDJPY to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

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We expect a $946 movement on USDCHF within the next 48 hours.

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