Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect SM to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 175K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
17 Mar 09:30 |
18 Feb 09:30 |
21 Jan 09:30 |
15 Oct 08:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).