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We expect SI to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel events in Japan, we expect SI to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect SI to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 15 Aug 23:50 if the released value is > 0.2%. A price movement of 28 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Feb 23:50
15 Nov 23:50
17 May 23:50
08 Aug 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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