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We expect S to trend upwards with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 KOF Leading Indicators events in Switzerland, we expect S to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect S to trend upwards for 12 hours because the released value is > 104.6. A price movement of 4,175 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Feb 08:00
30 Dec 08:00
30 Sep 07:00
28 Aug 07:00
30 Jul 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Big movement expected on UK100 after a breach of 6717.5000

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We expect a 71 pip movement on ZN within 48 hours following the event release.

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