Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect S to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect S to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-03-31 12:00 if the released value is < 2.2%. A price movement of 44 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
31 Jan 13:00 |
30 Sep 12:00 |
29 Aug 12:00 |
01 Jul 12:00 |
29 Apr 12:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
