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We expect S to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect a $37669 movement on S within 48 hours following the release of Retail Sales MoM at 2025-08-15 12:30. We expect S to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-08-15 12:30 if the released value is < 0.5%. A price movement of 149 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 12:30
14 Feb 13:30
16 Jan 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $210 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-15 12:30.

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