Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect S to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect S to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 22 Sep 18:00 if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 4,550 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
28 Apr 18:00 |
17 Mar 18:00 |
27 Jan 19:00 |
16 Dec 19:00 |
05 Nov 19:00 |
16 Sep 18:00 |
29 Jul 18:00 |
10 Jun 18:00 |
29 Apr 18:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
