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We expect RTY to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

We expect RTY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.4%. A price movement of 387 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Dec 07:00
22 Nov 07:00
24 May 06:00
19 Apr 06:00
19 Jan 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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