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We expect RTY to trend downwards today with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect RTY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect RTY to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 07 Jan 13:30 if the released value is < 400K. A price movement of 3,245 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Dec 13:30
08 Oct 12:30
03 Sep 12:30
04 Jun 12:30
08 Jan 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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