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We expect OJ to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect OJ to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect OJ to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 29 Oct 03:00 if the released value is = -0.1%. A price movement of 602 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Sep 03:00
15 Jul 03:00
16 Jun 02:45
22 May 03:00
27 Apr 04:00
16 Mar 05:00
21 Jan 03:00
19 Dec 03:00
31 Oct 04:00
19 Sep 03:00
30 Jul 03:00
20 Jun 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect OJ to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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