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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 85.71% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect a 12 pip movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 01:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 01:30 if the released value is > A$2.5B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 May 01:30
06 Mar 00:30
09 Jan 00:30
05 Dec 00:30
03 Oct 01:30
05 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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