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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Personal Income MoM events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-26 12:30 if the released value is < 0.3%. A price movement of 27 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jun 12:30
20 Dec 13:30
27 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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