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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect a $530 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-18 19:00. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-18 19:00 if the released value is = 4.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Nov 19:00
31 Jul 18:00
01 May 18:00
20 Mar 18:00
13 Dec 19:00
01 Nov 18:00
26 Jul 18:00
14 Jun 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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