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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on past Euro Area Deposit Facilty Rate news events there is a 72.73% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 3%. A price movement of 51 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Sep 12:15
06 Jun 12:15
11 Apr 12:15
07 Mar 13:15
25 Jan 13:15
14 Dec 13:15
26 Oct 12:15
15 Jun 12:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $247 movement on HE within 12 hours following the event release at 2024-12-12 13:30.

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We expect HE to trend upwards with a 70% chance.

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