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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect a 56 pip movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-05-22 23:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-05-22 23:30 if the released value is > 3.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jan 23:30
19 Dec 23:30
20 Jun 23:30
23 May 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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