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We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-04-04 12:30 if the released value is < 135K. A price movement of 63 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Mar 13:30
07 Feb 13:30
06 Sep 12:30
02 Aug 12:30
03 May 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $1173 movement on OJ within 2 hours following the release of Non Farm Payrolls.

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