We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 48 hours. Based on these past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > A$5B. A price movement of 83 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
06 Mar 00:30![]() |
09 Jan 00:30![]() |
05 Dec 00:30![]() |
03 Oct 01:30![]() |
05 Sep 01:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).