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We expect NQ to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, NQ could trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. If the released value is = 1% we could see NQ trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 May 18:00.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Mar 18:00
15 Dec 19:00
03 Nov 18:00
22 Sep 18:00
28 Jul 18:00
16 Jun 18:00
17 Mar 18:00
16 Dec 19:00
05 Nov 19:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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