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We expect NQ to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Westpac Consumer Confidence Index events in Australia, NQ could trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. If the released value is > 94.7 we could see NQ trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 11 May 00:30.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Apr 00:30
14 Jul 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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