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We expect NQ to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on past Australia RBA Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of NQ trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 4.1%. A price movement of 786 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 03:30
06 Aug 04:30
07 May 04:30
19 Mar 03:30
05 Dec 03:30
07 Nov 03:30
03 Oct 03:30
05 Sep 04:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $334 movement on UB within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-02-18 03:30.

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