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We expect NIY to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

We expect NIY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States PPI MoM news events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 0.2%. A price movement of 212 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Feb 13:30
12 Dec 13:30
12 Sep 12:30
12 Jul 12:30
14 May 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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