Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash events in Euro Area, we expect NIY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NIY to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-07-30 09:00 if the released value is < 0.0%. A price movement of 60 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 Jan 10:00 |
31 Oct 10:00 |
28 Apr 09:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
