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We expect NIY to trend upwards right now.

Based on the last 12 SNB Interest Rate Decison events in Switzerland, we expect NIY to trend upwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NIY to trend upwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is = -0.75%. A price movement of 12,500 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Sep 07:30
17 Jun 07:30
25 Mar 08:30
24 Sep 07:30
18 Jun 07:30
12 Dec 08:30
13 Jun 07:30
21 Mar 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $82,985.5 movement on RTY within 12 hours following the event release at 16 Dec 08:30.

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We expect a $109,939.125 movement on RTY within 12 hours following the event release at 16 Dec 12:00.

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