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We expect NIY to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv events in United States, we expect NIY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NIY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-07-30 12:30 if the released value is < 2.4%. A price movement of 285 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 12:30
30 Jan 13:30
25 Apr 12:30
28 Jul 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 58 pip movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the event release.

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