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We expect KC to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $946 movement on KC within 4 hours following the event release at 2024-07-05 12:30. We expect KC to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2024-07-05 12:30 if the released value is > 190K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jun 12:30
08 Mar 13:30
02 Feb 13:30
05 Jan 13:30
08 Dec 13:30
01 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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