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We expect KC to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect KC to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect KC to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-01-24 03:00 if the released value is = 0.5%. A price movement of 73 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 03:00
20 Sep 03:00
14 Jun 03:25
26 Apr 03:00
23 Jan 03:00
19 Dec 03:00
22 Sep 03:00
28 Jul 03:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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