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We expect KC to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect KC to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect KC to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-01-06 13:00 if the released value is = 2.4%. A price movement of 85 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 May 12:00
04 Jan 13:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $924 movement on USDCHF within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-01-06 13:00.

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EURUSD moves lower to 1.0305 in the last 8 days.

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