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We expect GF to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect GF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GF to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-02 09:00 if the released value is = 2%. A price movement of 485 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jul 09:00
07 Jan 10:00
29 Nov 10:00
30 Aug 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

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We expect a $1554 movement on USDCHF within the next 12 hours.

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