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We expect GF to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect a $5189 movement on GF within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-17 18:00. We expect GF to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-09-17 18:00 if the released value is = 4.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 18:00
18 Jun 18:00
19 Mar 18:00
29 Jan 19:00
18 Dec 19:00
07 Nov 19:00
31 Jul 18:00
20 Mar 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $660 movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-09-17 18:00.

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We expect a 155 pip movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release.

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