Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in France, we expect a 45 pip movement on GC within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-30 06:45. We expect GC to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-30 06:45 if the released value is > 0.8%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
31 Oct 07:45 |
30 Aug 06:45 |
30 Apr 06:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
