Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Canada, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-03-06 13:30 if the released value is > C$1.3B. A price movement of 32 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
06 Aug 12:30![]() |
06 Jun 12:30![]() |
04 Apr 12:30![]() |
07 Mar 13:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).