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We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in United Kingdom, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-12 06:00 if the released value is = 4.7%. A price movement of 18 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 May 06:00
15 Apr 06:00
17 Dec 07:00
10 Sep 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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