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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards with a 72.73% chance.

Based on past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 72.73% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 4.5%. A price movement of 155 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 19:00
18 Dec 19:00
07 Nov 19:00
31 Jul 18:00
12 Jun 18:00
20 Mar 18:00
31 Jan 19:00
20 Sep 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $1550 movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-03-19 18:00.

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