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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a $460 movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-24 12:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-24 12:30 if the released value is > 2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Mar 12:30
27 Feb 13:30
25 Oct 12:30
26 Aug 12:30
27 Jun 12:30
24 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $40904 movement on RTY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-24 12:30.

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