Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 04:30 if the released value is = 3.85%. A price movement of 77 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
01 Apr 04:30![]() |
10 Dec 03:30![]() |
06 Aug 04:30![]() |
18 Jun 04:30![]() |
07 May 04:30![]() |
19 Mar 03:30![]() |
05 Dec 03:30![]() |
07 Nov 03:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).