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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 04:30 if the released value is = 3.85%. A price movement of 77 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Apr 04:30
10 Dec 03:30
06 Aug 04:30
18 Jun 04:30
07 May 04:30
19 Mar 03:30
05 Dec 03:30
07 Nov 03:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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