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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

We expect a $400 movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY Flash at 2025-03-03 10:00. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-03-03 10:00 if the released value is > 2.3%. A price movement of 40 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Feb 10:00
31 Oct 10:00
31 Jul 09:00
31 May 09:00
01 Mar 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect CC to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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