Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Canada, we expect a 45 pip movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-04 12:30. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-04 12:30 if the released value is < C$-4.75B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
05 Aug 12:30![]() |
05 Jun 12:30![]() |
05 Feb 13:30![]() |
05 Dec 13:30![]() |
05 Nov 13:30![]() |
04 Sep 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).