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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we could see a $110 movement on EURUSD within the next 4 hours. We may see EURUSD trend downwards for 4 hours because the released value is > A$4.55B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Oct 01:30
05 Sep 01:30
01 Aug 01:30
06 Jun 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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