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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect a $1970 movement on EURUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2022-08-09 01:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2022-08-09 01:30 if the released value is > 2

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Apr 01:30
08 Mar 00:30
12 Oct 00:30
14 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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